Xavier Le Den, Andreas Qvist Secher
June 13, 2020
8 circular actions to cut 60% CO2 in the buildings secto
With two thirds of global CO2 emissions linked to materials management, the buildings sector can play a key role in slashing emissions through recycling, renovation, and resource optimisation.
Ramboll recently published a report commissioned by the European Environment Agency that analysed the relationship between circular economy and climate change mitigation. The report also outlines a methodology to quantify the decarbonisation benefits of circular economy actions.
A stepwise approach
Due to growing concerns over the climate crisis, European Union policymakers have placed the circular economy transition higher on the agenda than ever before. In December 2019, the European Commission published the Green Deal, a Communication paper setting out the EU’s approach towards achieving climate neutrality by 2050 and making the transition to the circular economy by decoupling economic growth from resource use.
In the study we propose a stepwise approach to calculating the potential avoided CO2 emissions from circular economy actions compared to a conventional (non-circular) situation.
Circular economy actions are defined as actions which either:
- contribute to reducing material use (material efficiency measures);
- substitute high impact materials with lower impact materials;
- recirculate products or materials and therefore more traditionally considered ‘circular’ (reuse/recycle actions).
The methodology is applicable to any economic sector and is tested for the building sector based on a collection of available data. While the study provides preliminary results from the use of the method, more data on the impacts of circular economy actions on the whole lifecycle of buildings and on future buildings sector market trends would allow a more refined set of findings.
Circular economy in the buildings sector
The CO2 footprint of steel production makes up around 7% of global CO2 emissions.3 Global crude steel production is forecasted to grow by 30% by 2050 with recycled secondary steel growing faster than primary production.4 GHG from steel production are emitted both from the energy used to process and manufacture steel as well as through chemical processes.
Due to the importance of steel and concrete in terms of GHG emissions, the building industry is under pressure to find circular and efficient uses of these materials and to make use of viable and more sustainable alternatives. Eight circular economy actions, selected according to their potential impact, are identified contributing to this reflection.
1) Reduce the amount of steel and concrete used to what is strictly necessary
Studies from the United Kingdom have shown that buildings in the UK could be designed with 20% and up to 46% less steel without jeopardizing the stability and resistance of the structures.5 At Ramboll, building experts have estimated that the use of concrete can often be reduced to the tune of 10% from current building designs.
To support these changes in design practices, building standards need to change and allow leaner designs. Technical solutions such as computer-assisted design can also facilitate conceiving lean and resistant structures using only the necessary amount of material.
2) Reuse disassembled steel and concrete components from existing buildings into new buildings
This action would reduce the need for new products. Nowadays, the amount of steel and even more so concrete components that are reused remain low, in particular when compared to the amount of new or recycled products. From a climate change perspective, reuse can be more beneficial since it does not involve such energy-intensive recycling processes as re-melting of the steel or grinding of concrete. Increasing the reuse of building components can become easier once components are standardised and designed to be easily disassembled, as described in the following action.
3) Design buildings so that their components can be disassembled and reused rather than wasted
Going with the third action has an impressive potential for circularity at the level of a single building: up to 90% of the materials from a building designed to be disassembled can actually be reused. Therefore, we need a new generation of buildings that can easily be disassembled, such as by screwing parts rather than gluing them, and from which components follow standard designs and are easy to reuse in other buildings.
Design for disassembly will contribute to a future where buildings can be used as sources of materials, allowing for ‘urban mining’ or the extraction of construction materials within cities. The success of this approach depends on ability to build information databases regarding the composition of current buildings and to create material banks, to facilitate the extraction of materials needed at the time of a new construction.
4) Use timber as the structural material in buildings instead of concrete and steel
If all new residential buildings in the EU were timber-structured, Ramboll and Fraunhofer ISI estimate that 12% of the buildings sector’s CO2 emissions could be avoided compared to the current baseline.
5) Use more climate-friendly types of cement as a substitute for ordinary cement
Doing so could also reduce emissions significantly. For instance, some modern types of cement emit significantly less CO2 during processing due to their chemical composition. Others can be used to produce pre-cast concrete which solidifies at much lower temperatures than conventional forms of pre-cast concrete. Finally, cement emissions can be reduced by using by-products from other industrial manufacturing processes into cement mixes.
Combined, these actions could potentially reduce the buildings sector’s emissions by 30% compared to the current situation. These new cements are however less competitive than conventional materials at the moment, and due to the lack of a price policy incentive and lack of demand.
6) Optimising the use of space in buildings to reduce the need for new construction
7) Recycling cement from demolition waste using efficient recycling processes
Recycling cement can reduce the need for new cement if waste concrete is crushed and cement is filtered out to be reused. New and efficient recycling technologies already exist today which could be more widely integrated in the construction process on the construction site, thus also reducing transport needs.
That said, where it is feasible concrete reuse would still have lower CO2 emissions than recycling due to the avoided raw cement production process.
8) Deeply renovating existing buildings rather than demolishing and rebuilding
If combined, these eight actions present huge potential to reduce material emissions from buildings’ materials by an estimated 60% by 2050 compared to a baseline scenario.
“We need a new generation of buildings that can easily be disassembled.”
A pioneering attempt
The study findings should be interpreted as a pioneering attempt at modelling the complexity of the buildings sector’s material flows and providing an estimate of circular economy’s decarbonisation potential. The results were obtained on the basis of key underlying assumptions and limited data, meaning that different assumptions can lead to
variable results. For one, some of the circular economy actions analysed here present important synergies that can reinforce their benefits, such as design for disassembly and the reuse of disassembled buildings’ components.
The order in which these actions are modelled to occur has an impact on their effectiveness: if buildings are all designed for disassembly prior to any reuse action being implemented, then the potential for reusing components becomes higher.
What is more, while the circular economy can reduce the demand for raw materials by making better use of what is already in the system, it may also lead to a ‘circular economy rebound’ if circular economy business models prove more cost-effective than new materials and lead to increased production, cancelling out the climate benefits of circularity. The potential for circular economy rebound in the buildings sector is currently not well known.
The report however demonstrates the feasibility of drawing compelling forward-looking assessments using existing lifecycle assessments, state-of-the-art material flow modelling from the Fraunhofer Institute, and Multi-Regional Input Output (MRIO) modelling. These calculations can be instrumental in making the case for circularity in its contribution to climate action especially if combined with detailed policy scenario development and policy impact assessments.
We need a new economy
The circular economy actions analysed call for deep societal transformation in Europe by 2050, where construction techniques evolve towards achieving the highest degree of material efficiency, and building design is driven by lifecycle thinking, aided by digital tools and by public policy rules and incentives.8 A new economy is needed which rewards sustaining existing materials rather than demolishing and replacing with new raw materials.
The feasibility of these actions has been demonstrated in individual projects detailed in the studies reviewed to prepare this report. Now, it is up to all stakeholders of the building sector, including policymakers, to steer change in the built environment towards more circular and climate-friendly practices.
In order to calculate climate impacts of the selected circular economy actions, the approach requires the production or collection of lifecycle analysis data comparing the impact of the use of circular economy actions with impacts from conventional products and processes. As lifecycle analysis focuses on individual products or processes (micro-level), this data must then be used as input to a macro-level material flow analysis and combined with a realistic understanding of market dynamics, thus scaling up the results at EU- and sector-level.
About the team
This study was led by sustainability experts from Ramboll Management Consulting. Technical analysis of existing lifecycle analysis data was provided by Ramboll Buildings experts. The Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research developed the material flow modelling approach and calculated the overall impacts of the circular economy actions at EU level. The study was thoroughly reviewed and complemented by circular economy experts from the Ecologic Institute.
- Circle Economy. (2017). POLICY LEVERS FOR A LOW-CARBON CIRCULAR ECONOMY. Page 11.
- Olivier, J. G. J. and PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (2013) Trends in global CO2yyy-* emissions 2013 report. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
- Stockholm Environment Institute (2018) Low-emission steel production: decarbonising heavy industry.
- World Steel Association. (2019). WORLD STEEL IN FIGURES 2019. Retrieved from: https://www.worldsteel.org/en/dam/jcr:96d7a585-e6b2-4d63-b943-4cd9ab621a91/World%2520Steel%2520in%2520Figures%25202019.pdf
- Moynihan, M. C. and Allwood, J. M. (2014) ‘Utilization of structural steel in buildings.’, Proceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences. The Royal Society, 470(2168), p. 20140170. doi: 10.1098/rspa.2014.0170. Dunant, C. F. et al. (2018) ‘Regularity and optimisation practice in steel structural frames in real design cases’, Resources, Conservation and Recycling. Elsevier, 134, pp. 294–302. doi: 10.1016/J.RESCONREC.2018.01.009.
- Günther, J., Lehmann, H., Nuss, P., Purr, K. (2019). Resource-Eficient Pathways towards Greenhouse-GasNeutrality – RESCUE. Umwelbundesamt.
- According to the European Commission’s 2016 impact assessment for the Directive on the Energy Performance of Buildings. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/1_en_impact_assessment_part1_v3.pdf
- See the World Green Building Council’s report on Bringing Embodied Carbon Upfront to which Ramboll contributed, and read the related article here.
Want to know more?
Xavier Le Den
Market Director, Strategic Sustainability Consulting
Andreas Qvist Secher
Chief Consultant, Sustainability, Ramboll DK